This week will end with another atmospheric river aiming for the Golden State, which means more heavy rain and flooding for California. While most of the precipitation from the upcoming storm will land in the North, there is still cause for concern throughout the rest of the state due to the fact that the previous storm on Monday and Tuesday brought over a foot of rain to certain areas and around 300 reports of flooding.
This week’s lesser rain increased to river levels on Wednesday, posing a serious threat of flooding. Central California’s Salinas River is the center of emergency management’s concern as the river is expected to reach or exceed major flood levels by Thursday, which will have devastating effects on the Salinas area.
The FOX Forecast Center predicts that the crest in Spreckels will be 27.6 feet as of Saturday morning, which would be the second-highest level ever measured and could cause significant flooding in the nearby communities of Castroville, Soledad, Gonzales, Chualar, Spence and Spreckels. The sheriff of Monterey County has issued some mandatory evacuations. Furthermore, thousands of acres of farmland will be inundated, making major and minor routes inaccessible.
Unless the river rises more than expected, the city of Salinas is expected to be safe from floods. Over in Northern California, where the rain on Wednesday added another 1–3 inches to the wet totals already amassed since the parade of storms began just after Christmas, flood watches remain in effect. The strongest precipitation was recorded north of the San Francisco Bay Area.
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For a Little While Southern California May Relax
The Southern California region got a reprieve after receiving 3–10 inches of rain over the course of two days on average up to Tuesday and more than 15 inches in the mountains. Dry conditions are forecasted to last through Friday, but rain will return over the weekend.
On Friday, the highest summits in the Sierra Nevada could receive an additional foot or two of snow. The FOX Forecast Center predicts that less than a foot of snow will fall at pass level as the snow level rises during the weekend. As the storm draws closer to Northern California’s coast, the waves will grow to a height of 20 to 25 feet on Thursday night and Friday early.
There Will Be More Rain But Maybe Some Sunshine Will Arrive Soon
This weekend and next week are expected to see an increase in the frequency and intensity of storms. More trees will likely fall due to the moist soil, keeping utility workers busy and gusty winds of over 40 miles per hour will return. Next week, California is expected to be hit by yet another powerful storm, albeit this one is expected to be less intense and cooler than the bomb cyclone that got caught up in the Pineapple Express.
There would be less rain runoff from higher elevations and more snowfall if the air was cooler. It is likely that another widespread and destructive flood scenario will be avoided, according to the FOX Projected Center, because of these lower snow levels and the most cumulative rain forecast to occur in far northwestern California, which hasn’t been quite as wet.
The Sierra Nevada mountains could see a resumption of their extreme snowfalls as the cooler air settles in. A further 60–100 inches of snow is expected to fall over the next week, according to the FOX Forecast Center, bringing the total snowfall to more than twice its normal level for this time of year.
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Avalanche risk will remain high as long as the snow continues to accumulate. However, drier times are on the horizon. According to the long-range forecasts, the weather pattern will change in approximately 9–10 days bringing California a long stretch of largely dry weather and a break from the devastating storms.
On Tuesday, the office of California Governor Gavin Newsom said that at least 18 people had died as a result of the recent string of powerful storms, which is more than the number of people killed by wildfires in the state in the previous two years put together.
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